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I don't think it's just speculation. He furnishes a lot of proofs. IMO there are also genetic proofs.
How? Some of these groups might have some Scythian ancestry but I'd like to know how it can be qualified. And how the paternal lines of Indo-Aryans, Kushans, Scythians, Indo-Parthians, Hephthalite etc can be differentiated. All groups probably shared similar lineages. How can you tell that Rajput lineages come from a Scythian source as opposed to a Kushan one?